Découvrir conseils, opinions et fonctionnalités sur penguin group thinking in bets vendu 20.21 € , ce produit est placé dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften, fabriqué par Penguin Group et est vendu par Fnac.ch
Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
frais de port: 5
EAN: 9780735216372
Trouver informations, conseils et prix pour penguin us thinking in bets il est vendu 22.4 € , présent dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften, ce produit est fabriqué par Penguin US et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch
Wall Street Journal bestseller! Poker champion turned business consultant Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions as a result. In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck? Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making? Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes. By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate and successful in the long run.
état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
frais de port: 3.5
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9780735216372
Trouver informations, conseils et prix pour penguin group intuition pumps and il est vendu 19.71 € , présent dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften, ce produit est fabriqué par Penguin Group et est vendu par Fnac.ch
Intuition pumps and other tools for thinking - Essai. Découvrez des nouveautés, des coups de cœur, des avis d'internautes, …
état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
EAN: 9780241954621
Trouver informations, conseils et prix pour penguin group thinking fast and il est vendu 20.61 € , présent dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften, ce produit est fabriqué par Penguin Group et est vendu par Fnac.ch
Thinking, fast and slow - Guide. Découvrez des nouveautés, des coups de cœur, des avis d'internautes, …
état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
EAN: 9780141033570
Découvrir conseils, opinions et fonctionnalités sur penguin books ltd thinking fast vendu 28.4 € , ce produit est placé dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften, fabriqué par Penguin Books Ltd et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch
One of the most influential books of the 21st century: the ground-breaking psychology classic - over 10 million copies sold - that changed the way we think about thinking 'There have been many good books on human rationality and irrationality, but only one masterpiece. That masterpiece is Thinking, Fast and Slow' Financial Times 'A lifetime's worth of wisdom' Steven D. Levitt, co-author of Freakonomics Why do we make the decisions we do? Nobel Prize winner Daniel Kahneman revolutionised our understanding of human behaviour with Thinking, Fast and Slow. Distilling his life's work, Kahneman showed that there are two ways we make choices: fast, intuitive thinking, and slow, rational thinking. His book reveals how our minds are tripped up by error, bias and prejudice (even when we think we are being logical) and gives practical techniques that enable us all to improve our decision-making. This profound exploration of the marvels and limitations of the human mind has had a lasting impact on how we see ourselves. 'The godfather of behavioural science ... his steely analysis of the human mind and its many flaws remains perhaps the most useful guide to remaining sane and steady' Sunday Times
état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
frais de port: 3.5
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9780141033570
Trouver informations, conseils et prix pour penguin group usa inc dust il est vendu 52.9 € , présent dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften, ce produit est fabriqué par Penguin Group (usa) Inc. et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch
When an old friend pulls Richard Jury into the investigation of a wealthy bachelor's murder, Jury's not sure what's more perplexing: the circumstances of the fellow's death or the motivations of the case's lead detective - the beautiful and forbidding Lu Aguilar. But what Jury is sure of is that he's over his head with both Aguilar and the mystery surrounding the once-charismatic Billy Maples, who was last seen in a club named Dust. Photo (c) Mary McCulley
état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9780143059035
Découvrir conseils, opinions et fonctionnalités sur penguin publishing group mr monk vendu 17.4 € , ce produit est placé dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften, fabriqué par Penguin Publishing Group et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch
Welcome to the series of original mysteries starring Adrian Monk, the brilliant investigator who always knows when something's out of place.... Of all the things that make Adrian Monk uneasy, change ranks high on the list. So when Natalie completes her P.I. license—and technically becomes Monk's boss—it's not easy for him to accept. Nor can he accept Natalie attending a business seminar at sea without him, even if it means spending a week with her on a cruise ship. Between choppy waters and obnoxious kids, Monk finds himself in a perfect storm of anxiety. Luckily, Mariah, the cruise director, is always able to smooth things over...until the crew fishes her dead body out of the water. Even after the ship's doctor declares Mariah's death an accident, Monk isn't convinced. So when the captain hires Monk and Natalie to look into a mysterious rash of vandalism on board, Monk steers the investigation toward murder....
état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
frais de port: 3.5
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9780451240965
Trouver informations, conseils et prix pour penguin group usa inc inherent il est vendu 48.9 € , présent dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften, ce produit est fabriqué par Penguin Group (usa) Inc. et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch
Reluctantly investigating a kidnapping threat against his ex-girlfriend's billionaire beau, Doc Sportello tackles a bizarre tangle of nefarious characters and his own marijuana habit before stumbling on a mysterious entity that may actually be a tax shelter for a dental group. By a National Book Award-winning author. Simultaneous.
état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9780143144762
Découvrir conseils, opinions et fonctionnalités sur penguin group usa inc dakota vendu 51.9 € , ce produit est placé dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften, fabriqué par Penguin Group (usa) Inc. et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch
In this stunning sequel to Grimess beloved "Biting the Moon," young Andi Oliver is an amnesiac and drifter who awakes in a Santa Fe bed and breakfast. Though she doesnt know her own identity, the smart yet troubled young woman knows right from wrong. Unabridged. 8 CDs.
état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9780143143017
Découvrir conseils, opinions et fonctionnalités sur penguin publishing group the rebels vendu 18.4 € , ce produit est placé dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften, fabriqué par Penguin Publishing Group et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch
The rousing Kent family saga continues as Philip Kent fights for his new country alongside the greatest figures of the Revolutionary War The engrossing follow-up to The Bastard finds Philip Kent standing as a Continental solider at the Battle of Bunker Hill. In a bold move, Kent has taken up arms for the future of his new family. Spirited and unwavering in his dedication to his adopted homeland, Kent fights in the most violent battles in America’s early history. As the Revolution rages, Kent’s story interweaves with the trials of a vivid cast of characters, both famous and unknown. The result is a tautly plotted epic novel that transports the reader into the thrilling adventure of a man’s fight for a new life.
état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
frais de port: 3.5
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9780451211729
Découvrir informations, conseils et prix pour penguin group usa inc the vendu 48.9 € , est placé dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften; ce produit est fabriqué par Penguin Group (usa) Inc. et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch
An analysis of the consequences of the Bush administration's fear, secrecy, and faith-based initiatives explains how the administration has dangerously compromised America's capacity for addressing long-term challenges.
état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9780143142157
Découvrir informations, conseils et prix pour penguin group usa inc wuthering vendu 33.4 € , est placé dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften; ce produit est fabriqué par Penguin Group (usa) Inc. et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch
Against a background of English moors in the eighteenth century, the lives of two families become intertwined through marriage, passion, and the dominating force of a man called Heathcliff.
état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
frais de port: 3.5
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9780143058113
Trouver conseils, opinions et fonctionnalités sur penguin group usa inc people il est vendu 48.9 € , présent dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften; ce produit appartient à Penguin Group (usa) Inc. et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch
Offered a coveted job to analyze and conserve a priceless Sarajevo Haggadah, Australian rare-book expert Hanna Heath discovers a series of tiny artifacts in the volume's ancient binding that reveal its historically significant origins. By the Pulitzer Prize-winning author of March.
état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9780143142980
Trouver informations, conseils et prix pour penguin group usa inc the il est vendu 59.9 € , présent dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften, ce produit est fabriqué par Penguin Group (usa) Inc. et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch
The former Federal Reserve Board chairman reveals the financial close call that nearly resulted in an economic disaster after September 11, his efforts to safeguard American interests, and the personal and educational history that informed his choices.
état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9780143142591
Trouver conseils, opinions et fonctionnalités sur penguin war on the middle il est vendu 41.9 € , présent dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften; ce produit appartient à Penguin et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch
Identifies the ways in which middle-class Americans are being rendered vulnerable by political groups, large corporations, and sensational media practices that are compromising middle-income health care, educational resources, and employment opportunities.
état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9780143059011
Trouver conseils, opinions et fonctionnalités sur penguin random house audio publishing il est vendu 65.9 € , présent dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften; ce produit appartient à Penguin Random House Audio Publishing Group et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch
“Stuart Woods never fails to deliver suspenseful and entertaining plots. His characters are always finely honed and his dialogue pitch perfect. This is especially true in Double Jeopardy, which makes for a clever and captivating reading experience.”—Bookreporter.com
état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9780593348123
Découvrir informations, conseils et prix pour penguin group usa inc common vendu 48.9 € , est placé dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften; ce produit est fabriqué par Penguin Group (usa) Inc. et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch
From one of the worlds greatest economic minds, author of the "New York Times" bestseller "The End of Poverty," comes a clear and vivid map of the road to sustainable and equitable global prosperity and an augury of the global economic collapse that lies ahead if we dont follow it. Unabridged. 13 CDs.
état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9780143143031
Découvrir conseils, opinions et fonctionnalités sur penguin group usa inc the vendu 42.9 € , ce produit est placé dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften, fabriqué par Penguin Group (usa) Inc. et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch
The former Federal Reserve Board chairman reveals the financial close call that nearly resulted in an economic disaster after September 11, his efforts to safeguard American interests, and the personal and educational history that informed his choices.
état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9780143142607
Découvrir conseils, opinions et fonctionnalités sur penguin publishing group inner revolution vendu 23.4 € , ce produit est placé dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften, fabriqué par Penguin Publishing Group et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch
The New York Times calls him "America's number one Buddhist." He is the co-founder of Tibet House New York, was the first American Tibetan Buddhist monk, and has shared a thirty-five-year friendship with the Dalai Lama. Now, Robert Thurman presents his first completely original book, an introduction to Buddhism and "an inspiring guide to incorporating Buddhist wisdom into daily life" (USA Today). Written with insight, enthusiasm, and impeccable scholarship, Inner Revolution is not only a national bestseller and practical primer on one of the world's most fascinating traditions, but it is also a wide-ranging look at the course of our civilization--and how we can alter it for the better. "Part spiritual memoir, part philosophical treatise and part religious history, Thurman's book is a passionate declaration of the possibilities of renewing the world" (Publishers Weekly, starred review).
état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
frais de port: 3.5
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9781573227193
Découvrir conseils, opinions et fonctionnalités sur penguin publishing group turn the vendu 34.9 € , ce produit est placé dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften, fabriqué par Penguin Publishing Group et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch
"One of the top 12 business books of all time." --Motley Fool and USA Today, November 2014 "#1 Must-Read Business Book of 2012" -- Fortune Magazine "The best how-to manual anywhere for managers on delegating, training and driving flawless execution." -- Fortune Magazine "I don't know of a finer model of this kind of empowering leadership than Captain Marquet. And in the pages that follow you will find a model for your pathway." -- Stephen R. Covey , author of The 7 Habits of Highly Effective People "To say I'm a fan of David Marquet would be an understatement... I'm a fully fledged groupie. He is the kind of leader who comes around only once a generation. He is the kind of leader who doesn't just know how to lead, he knows how to build leaders. His ideas and lessons are invaluable to anyone who wants to build an organization that will outlive them. -- Simon Sinek , optimist and author of Start with Why "How do we release the intellect and initiative of each member of the organization toward a common purpose? Here's the answer: With fascinating storytelling and a deep understanding of what motivates and inspires. David Marquet provides leaders in the military, business, and education a powerful vehicle that will delight, provoke, and encourage them to act." -- Michael P. Peters , president of the St. John's College, Santa Fe "I owe a lot to Captain David Marquet ... not only for turning the Santa Fe around during some REALLY bad times but I learned many lessons on leadership from him that have been invaluable in my post-Navy life. I preach the three legs (control, competence, clarity) of Leader-Leader everyday to empower my people and move the decisions to where the information lives... I used these principles to turn around the GE Dallas Generator Repair Department, which was in crisis when I arrived in 2010 and now is the best Generator Repair Department in the GE Network... Now I am tasked with turning around the Dallas Steam Turbine Repair Department..." -- Adam McAnally , Steam Turbine Cell Leader at the GE Dallas Service Center and former crewmember, USS Santa Fe "This terrific read actually provides new and valuable insights into how to lead. And nothing important gets done without leadership. Captain Marquet takes you through his life of learning how to lead, and presents you with a winning formula: not leader-follower, but leader-leader. It's about leading by getting others to take responsibility--and like it. It works for business, politics, and life." -- Leslie H. Gelb , president emeritus of the Council on Foreign Relations, a member of several business boards, and a former columnist for The New York Times "It's the Hunt for Red October meets Harvard Business School. Turn the Ship Around! is the consummate book on leadership for the Information Age--where unleashing knowledge workers' intellectual capital is pivotal in optimizing organizational performance: from maximizing market share and minimizing customer churn to improving...
état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9781591846406