macmillan audio improbability principle Classement 2024

macmillan audio the improbability principle

Trouver conseils, opinions et fonctionnalités sur macmillan audio the improbability principle il est vendu 65.9 € , présent dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften; ce produit appartient à MacMillan Audio et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch

In The Improbability Principle, the renowned statistician David J. Hand argues that extraordinarily rare events are anything but. In fact, they're commonplace. Not only that, we should all expect to experience a miracle roughly once every month. But Hand is no believer in superstitions, prophecies, or the paranormal. His definition of "miracle" is thoroughly rational. No mystical or supernatural explanation is necessary to understand why someone is lucky enough to win the lottery twice, or is destined to be hit by lightning three times and still survive. All we need, Hand argues, is a firm grounding in a powerful set of laws: the laws of inevitability, of truly large numbers, of selection, of the probability lever, and of near enough. Together, these constitute Hand's groundbreaking Improbability Principle. And together, they explain why we should not be so surprised to bump into a friend in a foreign country, or to come across the same unfamiliar word four times in one day. Hand wrestles with seemingly less explicable questions as well: what the Bible and Shakespeare have in common, why financial crashes are par for the course, and why lightning does strike the same place (and the same person) twice. Along the way, he teaches us how to use the Improbability Principle in our own lives-including how to cash in at a casino and how to recognize when a medicine is truly effective. An irresistible adventure into the laws behind "chance" moments and a trusty guide for understanding the world and universe we live in, The Improbability Principle will transform how you think about serendipity and luck, whether it's in the world of business and finance or you're merely sitting in your backyard, tossing a ball into the air and wondering where it will land.

état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9781427258823

simon schuster audio principles for

Trouver conseils, opinions et fonctionnalités sur simon schuster audio principles for il est vendu 45.9 € , présent dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften; ce produit appartient à Simon & Schuster Audio et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch

From the #1 New York Times bestselling author of Principles and legendary investor Ray Dalio, who has spent half a century studying global markets, The Changing World Order examines history’s most turbulent economic and political periods to reveal why the times ahead will likely be radically different from those we’ve experienced in our lifetimes. A few years ago, renowned investor Ray Dalio began noticing a confluence of political and economic conditions he hadn’t encountered before in his fifty-year career. They included large debts and zero or near-zero interest rates in the world’s three major reserve currencies; significant wealth, political, and values divisions within countries; and emerging conflict between a rising world power (China) and the existing one (US). Seeking to explain the cause-effect relationships behind these conditions, he began a study of analogous historical times and discovered that such combinations of conditions were characteristic of periods of transition, such as the years between 1930 and 1945, in which wealth and power shifted in ways that reshaped the world order. Looking back across five hundred years of history and nine major empires—including the Dutch, the British, and the American— The Changing World Order puts into perspective the cycles and forces that have driven the successes and failures of all the world’s major countries throughout history. Dalio reveals the timeless and universal dynamics that were behind these shifts, while also offering practical principles for policymakers, business leaders, investors, and others operating in this environment.

état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9781797115771

macmillan audio shadows in flight

Trouver conseils, opinions et fonctionnalités sur macmillan audio shadows in flight il est vendu 46.9 € , présent dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften; ce produit appartient à MacMillan Audio et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch

Ender's Shadow explores the stars in this all-new novel... At the end of Shadow of the Giant, Bean flees to the stars with three of his children--the three who share the engineered genes that gave him both hyper-intelligence and a short, cruel physical life. The time dilation granted by the speed of their travel gives Earth's scientists generations to seek a cure, to no avail. In time, they are forgotten--a fading ansible signal speaking of events lost to Earth's history. But the Delphikis are about to make a discovery that will let them save themselves, and perhaps all of humanity in days to come. For there in space before them lies a derelict Formic colony ship. Aboard it, they will find both death and wonders--the life support that is failing on their own ship, room to grow, and labs in which to explore their own genetic anomaly and the mysterious disease that killed the ship's colony. Shadows in Flight is the fifth novel in Orson Scott Card's Shadow Series.

état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9781427215680

macmillan audio flat water tuesday

Découvrir informations, conseils et prix pour macmillan audio flat water tuesday vendu 61.9 € , est placé dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften; ce produit est fabriqué par MacMillan Audio et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch

As much about the sport of rowing as it is a novel of finding oneself, not once, but again in mid-life, "Flat Water Tuesday" is a stunning novel of boarding school, family secrets, deep and passionate love, and the brutal pain of sports training, as well as a testament to the pride and passion of youth, and an ode to the journey of forgiveness.

état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9781427231796

macmillan audio bk of 5

Trouver informations, conseils et prix pour macmillan audio bk of 5 il est vendu 32.4 € , présent dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften, ce produit est fabriqué par MacMillan Audio et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch

This classic book of strategy is now available on cdMiyamoto Musashi was renowned in his own time as an invincible warrior, a master artisan, an author, and philosopher. Today, his philosophy is still revered by the Japanese and used as a guide for daily decision-making--and business strategy. He wrote A Book of Five Rings not only as a thesis on doing battle, but also as a way to approach and live all aspects of life--"any situation where plans and tactics are used." When "A Book of Five Rings" first appeared on North American bookshelves in 1974, its message took the business community by storm. It provided insight into the then-emerging Japanese influence and offered a new way to think about business. It instantly became a vital tool for assured success and has remained so ever since.The principles in this work are as true today as they were over 300 years ago, and are as valid for business negotiations as for hand-to-hand combat. Based in the principles of Zen and advocating a hands-on approach to mastering the skills for winning," A Book of Five Rings" is very likely the most perceptive guide to strategy ever written.

état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
frais de port: 3.5
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9781593976910

macmillan audio bill oreillys legends

Trouver informations, conseils et prix pour macmillan audio bill oreillys legends il est vendu 53.9 € , présent dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften, ce produit est fabriqué par MacMillan Audio et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch

The must-have companion to Bill O'Reilly's historic series Legends and Lies: The Real West, a fascinating, eye-opening look at the truth behind the western legends we all think we know How did Davy Crockett save President Jackson's life only to end up dying at the Alamo? Was the Lone Ranger based on a real lawman-and was he an African American? What amazing detective work led to the capture of Black Bart, the "gentleman bandit" and one of the west's most famous stagecoach robbers? Did Butch Cassidy and the Sundance Kid really die in a hail of bullets in South America? Generations of Americans have grown up on TV shows, movies and books about these western icons. But what really happened in the Wild West? All the stories you think you know, and others that will astonish you, are here--some heroic, some brutal and bloody, all riveting. Included are the legends featured in Bill O'Reilly's ten week run of historic episodic specials-from Kit Carson to Jesse James, Wild Bill Hickok to Doc Holliday-- accompanied by two bonus chapters on Daniel Boone and Buffalo Bill and Annie Oakley. Frontier America was a place where instinct mattered more than education, and courage was necessary for survival. It was a place where luck made a difference and legends were made. Heavily illustrated with spectacular artwork that further brings this history to life, and told in fast-paced, immersive narrative, Legends and Lies is an irresistible, adventure-packed ride back into one of the most storied era of our nation's rich history.

état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9781427265722

macmillan audio books dexter c

Découvrir conseils, opinions et fonctionnalités sur macmillan audio books dexter c vendu 31.9 € , ce produit est placé dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften, fabriqué par Macmillan Audio Books et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch

'Do you think I'm wasting your time, Lewis?' Lewis was nobody's fool and was a man of some honesty and integrity. 'Yes, sir.' An engaging smile crept across Morse's mouth. He thought they would get on well together . . . The death of Sylvia Kaye featured dramatically in Thursday afternoon's edition of the Oxford Mail. By Friday evening Inspector Morse had informed the nation that the police were looking for a dangerous man - facing charges of wilful murder, sexual assault and rape. But as the obvious leads fade into twilight and darkness, Morse must follow his instincts if he is to unearth the culprit of this heinous crime. 'Highly effective . . . exceptionally clever' Sunday Times 'Let those who lament the decline of the English detective story reach for Colin Dexter' Guardian

état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9781509885046

macmillan audio not quite world

Trouver informations, conseils et prix pour macmillan audio not quite world il est vendu 29.4 € , présent dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften, ce produit est fabriqué par MacMillan Audio et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch

John Simpson, in the vein of his bestselling A Mad World, My Masters , offers a lively and upbeat look at the challenges and the changes the world has gone through in his life and long career

état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
frais de port: 3.5
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9780230531499

macmillan audio quest

Trouver conseils, opinions et fonctionnalités sur macmillan audio quest il est vendu 41.9 € , présent dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften; ce produit appartient à MacMillan Audio et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch

Egypt is struck by a series of terrible plagues that cripple the Kingdom, and then the ultimate disaster follows. The Nile fails. The waters that nourish and sustain the land dry up. Something catastrophic is taking place in the distant and totally unexplored depths of Africa from where the mighty river springs.

état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9780230013797

macmillan audio the secrets of

Découvrir conseils, opinions et fonctionnalités sur macmillan audio the secrets of vendu 51.9 € , ce produit est placé dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften, fabriqué par MacMillan Audio et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch

"With empathy and keen insight, Sally Hepworth delivers a page-turning novel about the complex, lovely, and even heartbreaking relationships between mothers and daughters.-Emily Giffin Three generations of women Secrets in the present and from the past A captivating tale of life, loss, and love... Neva Bradley, a third-generation midwife, is determined to keep the details surrounding her own pregnancy-including the identity of the baby's father- hidden from her family and co-workers for as long as possible. Her mother, Grace, finds it impossible to let this secret rest. The more Grace prods, the tighter Neva holds to her story, and the more the lifelong differences between private, quiet Neva and open, gregarious Grace strain their relationship. For Floss, Neva's grandmother and a retired midwife, Neva's situation thrusts her back sixty years in time to a secret that eerily mirrors her granddaughter's-one which, if revealed, will have life-changing consequences for them all. As Neva's pregnancy progresses and speculation makes it harder and harder to conceal the truth, Floss wonders if hiding her own truth is ultimately more harmful than telling it. Will these women reveal their secrets and deal with the inevitable consequences? Or are some secrets best kept hidden?

état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9781427252395

macmillan audio psycho cybernetics 9d

Trouver informations, conseils et prix pour macmillan audio psycho cybernetics 9d il est vendu 49.9 € , présent dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften, ce produit est fabriqué par MacMillan Audio et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch

Presents a life program based on self-image psychology that allows listeners to improve their lives through positive control of mind mechanisms and goal-seeking drives.

état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9781593979300

macmillan audio quick nimble 6d

Trouver conseils, opinions et fonctionnalités sur macmillan audio quick nimble 6d il est vendu 46.9 € , présent dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften; ce produit appartient à MacMillan Audio et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch

Draws on candid insights by more than two hundred CEOs to counsel business leaders on how to build and foster a corporate culture that promotes innovation and drives results.

état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9781427236234

macmillan education elt read c

Trouver conseils, opinions et fonctionnalités sur macmillan education elt read c il est vendu 82.9 € , présent dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften; ce produit appartient à Macmillan Education Elt et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch

The Class Audio CDs contain four CDs for each level that provide all the listening material for the course. Full transcripts are provided within each unit of the Teacher's Book.

état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9780230483644

macmillan education elt english world

Trouver informations, conseils et prix pour macmillan education elt english world il est vendu 88.9 € , présent dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften, ce produit est fabriqué par Macmillan Education Elt et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch

All dialogues, reading texts, listening comprehension activities, songs and rhymes are contained on the CD allowing children to listen again and practise independently at home.

état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9780230483514

macmillan audio grass for his

Trouver informations, conseils et prix pour macmillan audio grass for his il est vendu 28.4 € , présent dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften, ce produit est fabriqué par MacMillan Audio et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch

Takeo has pledged his life to the secret Tribe. His supernatural skills of invisibility and acute hearing make him their most deadly assassin. He must deny the spiritual vows of his upbringing, his birthright of Otori wealth, land and power - and his love for Kaede. If he does not serve the Tribe, they will kill him. In growing from boy to man, Takeo chooses a path of danger and vengeance, and learns of the prophecy that shapes his destiny. Kaede, destined to submit to a political marriage, must use her intelligence, beauty and cunning to assert her place in a world of all-powerful men - who must never know that she is carrying Takeo's child. In the ancient Oriental lands of the Otori, Lian Hearn has created a brilliantly imagined culture that has cast its spell over thousands of readers worldwide. Here is epic storytelling whose appeal crosses genres, genders and generations. "Grass For His Pillow" is one of the most eagerly awaited novels of 2003.

état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
frais de port: 3.5
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9781405006002

macmillan audio thief a robin

Découvrir conseils, opinions et fonctionnalités sur macmillan audio thief a robin vendu 81.9 € , ce produit est placé dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften, fabriqué par MacMillan Audio et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch

Robin Monarch is a man with a complicated past and dangerous present. He's been a soldier, a CIA agent, a freelance operative but first and foremost, Robin Monarch is a thief of the highest order. Orphaned at twelve, Monarch originally stole for survival, then he stole for his friends and cohorts, now he steals to order, and to give back to the to the woman who saved his life many years ago. With the help of his team, Monarch breaks into the legendary Christmas party of Beau Arsenault, a shady investor and behind-the-scenes player at the very highest levels of power politics. Arsenault is not above bending or breaking the rules if there's illicit profit to be made. Monarch has decided that those illicit profits will be better used to take care of orphans and street kids. Using the party as cover to break into Arsenault's secret vaults, Monarch comes away with two unexpected things. One is a bullet-he gets shot when he's caught trying to escape with tens of millions of negotiable instruments. The second is a lead on what might be his most audacious exploit ever. A previously undiscovered tribe in South America may well have the secret to the most sought after knowledge in history-that of eternal life. And Robin Monarch must use all his skills-as an operative, as a thief-to keep this secret from falling into the worst possible hands.

état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9781427244338

macmillan audio sherlock holmes fire

Découvrir conseils, opinions et fonctionnalités sur macmillan audio sherlock holmes fire vendu 46.9 € , ce produit est placé dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften, fabriqué par MacMillan Audio et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch

Teen Sherlock plunges into a fight for his life and battles to discover what has happened to his missing friends.

état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9781427233172

macmillan audio donaldson j what

Trouver conseils, opinions et fonctionnalités sur macmillan audio donaldson j what il est vendu 33.4 € , présent dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften; ce produit appartient à MacMillan Audio et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch

A boxed set of 4 CD versions of favourite Julia Donaldson stories, with readers including such well-known names as Imelda Staunton, Julian Clary and Alexander Armstrong.

état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
frais de port: 3.5
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9780230765498

macmillan audio the unwinding an

Découvrir informations, conseils et prix pour macmillan audio the unwinding an vendu 103 € , est placé dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften; ce produit est fabriqué par MacMillan Audio et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch

NATIONAL BOOK AWARD WINNER A NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER A NEW YORK TIMES NOTABLE BOOK AN NPR BEST BOOK Selected by New York Times' critic Dwight Garner as a Favorite Book A Washington Post Best Political Book A New Republic Best Book A riveting examination of a nation in crisis, from one of the finest political journalists of our generation American democracy is beset by a sense of crisis. Seismic shifts during a single generation have created a country of winners and losers, allowing unprecedented freedom while rending the social contract, driving the political system to the verge of breakdown, and setting citizens adrift to find new paths forward. In The Unwinding, George Packer, author of The Assassins' Gate: America in Iraq, tells the story of the United States over the past three decades in an utterly original way, with his characteristically sharp eye for detail and gift for weaving together complex narratives. The Unwinding journeys through the lives of several Americans, including Dean Price, the son of tobacco farmers, who becomes an evangelist for a new economy in the rural South; Tammy Thomas, a factory worker in the Rust Belt trying to survive the collapse of her city; Jeff Connaughton, a Washington insider oscillating between political idealism and the lure of organized money; and Peter Thiel, a Silicon Valley billionaire who questions the Internet's significance and arrives at a radical vision of the future. Packer interweaves these intimate stories with biographical sketches of the era's leading public figures, from Newt Gingrich to Jay-Z, and collages made from newspaper headlines, advertising slogans, and song lyrics that capture the flow of events and their undercurrents. The Unwinding portrays a superpower in danger of coming apart at the seams, its elites no longer elite, its institutions no longer working, its ordinary people left to improvise their own schemes for success and salvation. Packer's novelistic and kaleidoscopic history of the new America is his most ambitious work to date.

état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9781427251404

macmillan audio chakra healing d

Découvrir conseils, opinions et fonctionnalités sur macmillan audio chakra healing d vendu 27.4 € , ce produit est placé dans la catégorie Bücher & Zeitschriften, fabriqué par MacMillan Audio et est vendu par Orellfuessli.ch

Exercises and meditations to use and balance Chakra energies for greater health and vitality Rosalyn L. Bruyere spent seven years at UCLA collaborating with Dr. Valerie Hunt on a project to find scientific documentation of human energy fields. This study provided evidence that not only do Chakra energies exist, but that they are connected in a very real way to our sensations, feelings and thoughts. This program includes exercises and meditations that help you come to a new understanding of how the body functions and how you can participate in your own healing.

état: new
disponibilité: in_stock
frais de port: 3.5
le temps de livrer: in stock
EAN: 9781559279963



Produits liés à macmillan audio improbability principle


https://ch.shoppaloo.com/ participates in the Amazon Europe S.r.l. Affiliate Program, an affiliate program that allows sites to receive an advertising commission by advertising and providing links to the Amazon.fr site